ECONOMÍA

Panorama del Sector Minero en el Perú

Fuente: pqs.pe

Ya es conocida la importancia del sector minero en nuestra economía. Su desempeño es de especial interés, ya que depende de lo que ocurra en el ámbito internacional con el precio de las materias primas y con la inversión privada extranjera. Según el MEF, existen proyecciones favorables para nuestro sector minero principalmente por 3 motivos: i) un entorno internacional favorable acompañado de altos precios internacionales de materias primas, ii) mejoras en regulación minera y iii) el inicio de construcción de nuevos proyectos como Quellaveco, Mina Justa y la ampliación de Toromocho.

La capacidad de desarrollo de nuevos proyectos de las principales mineras del mundo, incluyendo aquellas que ya cuentan con proyectos en Perú, se ha incrementado. Esto como consecuencia de los altos precios de los metales que han permitido que puedan consolidar sus posiciones financieras. Evidencia de esto lo encontramos en la mayor capitalización bursátil que tuvieron las 25 principales empresas mineras en 2017, lo cual favorece una expectativa de aumento en la exploración mundial en 2018 que va entre 15% y 20%, según estimaciones de S&P Global Market Intelligence.

A nivel interno, se ha buscado incrementar la competitividad regulatoria  y fortalecer los esfuerzos para la preservación del medio ambiente. En este sentido, el gobierno publicó, en noviembre del 2017, un nuevo reglamento de procedimientos mineros con el fin de definir las pautas para aspectos esenciales como la autorización para el inicio de exploración o el inicio/reinicio de actividades de desarrollo y explotación. Meses después, en febrero 2018, se publicó el nuevo Reglamento de Protección Ambiental para las Actividades de Exploración Minera. Una de las principales contribuciones de dicho conjunto de reglas es la creación de la Ficha Técnica Ambiental, la cual constituye un instrumento de gestión ambiental simplificada. Asimismo, el reglamento fomenta el cuidado del medio ambiente, ya que tiene como objetivo controlar la cantidad y calidad de las emisiones bajo los criterio ambientales pertinentes.

Por último, se espera un nuevo ciclo de inversión minera que dará inicio a la construcción de nuevos proyectos. Actualmente, el Perú tiene una cartera de 49 proyectos de US$ 58 507 millones. Una parte de alrededor de US$ 10 mil millones tenía planeado iniciar su construcción este 2018. El más grande de estos proyectos es Quellaveco de la empresa Anglo American, el cual se espera que tenga un impacto en el PBI de +0,4%. Además, se espera que genere alrededor de 39 mil nuevos puestos de trabajo. El segundo proyecto, Mina Justa de la empresa Marcobre (US$ 1 348 millones) está en la espera de concretar su acceso al financiamiento para el 3er trimestre de este año. Mientras que el último, la ampliación de Toromocho, se encuentra en la búsqueda de terrenos para su ampliación. Sin duda, las expectativas son grandes. Su concreción dependerá de que el gobierno se ciña al plan de fomento a la inversión privada que se ha trazado.

Fuentes:

  • Ministerio de Economía y Finanzas (MEF)
  • 2018     Informe de actualización de proyecciones macroeconómicas 2018-2021. Lima
Andrés Rosas
Economista PUCP. Disfruto investigando sobre los temas que más afectan a nuestra economía. Recontra futbolero y nadador por afición. Tengo la certeza de que la lectura es la cura para nuestros problemas.
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