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Análisis: Cánada se une a la “guerra comercial” contra Estados Unidos

Por: Nicolás Safadi

Durante la pasada semana se realizó en Canadá la cumbre del G7. Los representantes de Estados Unidos, Canadá, Japón, Francia, Italia, Alemania y el Reino Unido participaron en reuniones planificadas para intentar buscar soluciones para los problemas actuales. Los temas clave fueron la promoción de la igualdad de género, el trabajo para aliviar los problemas relacionados al cambio climático y el comercio internacional. Este último asunto fue el que se llevó toda la atención una vez culminada la cumbre, debido a la división marcada que se pudo observar y que llevo a muchos periodistas a titular a esta cumbre como la del G6+1.

Una Cumbre diferente

En resumen, lo que se vivió fue inédito, el presidente Trump criticó, a través de su cuenta de Twitter, al primer ministro canadiense Justin Trudeau, quién horas antes declaró que no iba a ser intimidado por las amenazas de Trump y que estaba dispuesto a responder a las tarifas impuestas por Washington. Todo ello dentro del marco del aumento de aranceles por parte del gobierno americano a productos canadienses, mexicanos y provenientes de la Unión Europea. Lo que había comenzado como una mesa de negociación entre aliados ha dejado a los analistas impactados, pues escaló rápidamente en una guerra comercial.

La marca Trump

Por otra parte, los componentes de la retórica de Trump son conocidos; él llegó a la Casa Blanca proponiendo medidas proteccionistas para aliviar lo que considera un trato injusto por parte de los principales socios comerciales de Estados Unidos. Semanas antes, el aumento de aranceles para productos importados desde China puso al mundo en vilo. Alrededor del globo se analizaban los posibles efectos de una guerra comercial entre las economías más grandes del mundo. A partir de estos anuncios, ambos países han iniciado negociaciones para aliviar las tensiones. Si bien, el principal destinatario de estas críticas fue China, Trump también señaló a la Unión Europea, México y Canadá como naciones que sacaban provecho de las políticas de comercio actuales.

Luego de que Francia y Alemania tomaron una posición amistosa para con Trudeau, el aislamiento del presidente americano ha quedado de manifiesto. Trump, quien llegó a pedir la vuelta de Rusia al grupo de naciones, retiró su apoyo al documento final y demostró que va a continuar con la política de negociación dura que caracteriza a su gobierno.

La respuesta

Por otro lado, lo que sorprendió fue la cohesión de las otras naciones. El resto del G7 se mostró unido en contra del aumento de tarifas, el documento final resalta el rol que ha tenido el comercio internacional en el crecimiento económico y muestra su rechazo contra las medidas proteccionistas. Queda claro que, por lo menos en lo que respecta a política comercial, Estados Unidos se está quedando aislado.

El accidentado final de la cumbre no hace más que aumentar las preocupaciones que la comunidad internacional tenía con respecto a Donald Trump y su gobierno. Sus falencias como diplomático son evidentes y han dejado a Washington en un lugar complicado. Sin embargo, puede la llegada de Matteo Salvini – quien comparte una posición bastante similar a la de Trump – al gobierno italiano sea le sea favorable. De cualquier modo, la respuesta en el ámbito comercial del resto de países miembros será importante para ver si efectivamente se declara el inicio de una guerra entre aliados.

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