COYUNTURA

Análisis: Aumentan las fricciones entre Maduro y entidades internacionales

Imagen: BaranRD

La situación en Venezuela parece escalar tensiones cada vez más candentes. El fin de semana pasado se llevaron a cabo una serie de enfrentamientos en la frontera entre Colombia y Venezuela debido al fallido intento de ingresar ayuda humanitaria por parte de la oposición, liderada por Juan Guaidó, quien ya ha sido reconocido por medio centenar de naciones como presidente interino. El saldo dejado fue de 4 muertos y decenas de heridos, además de la ruptura de relaciones con Colombia.

En respuesta, el lunes 25 de febrero se convocó una reunión del Grupo de Lima, cuya presencia contó con el vicepresidente de Estados Unidos, Mike Pence, y de Guaidó. En la misma, Pence solicitó a los presentes congelar los activos de Petróleos de Venezuela S.A. (PDVSA), petrolera estatal de Venezuela, y transferirlos a la Asamblea Nacional. Además, al día siguiente tuvo lugar una asamblea del Consejo de Seguridad de la Organización de las Naciones Unidas (ONU), en la cual el enviado especial de Estados Unidos para Venezuela, Elliott Abrams, insistió en que Nicolás Maduro estaría utilizando la ayuda humanitaria como arma política. Aun así, ambas entidades recalcaron su negativa a resolver el conflicto a través de una intervención militar.

Este agravamiento viene luego de distintos sucesos que han debilitado el gobierno de Maduro a nivel internacional. Primero estuvo el cierre de la frontera con Brasil, en Pacaraima, para evitar el ingreso de ayuda humanitaria que también estuvo a cargo de Guaidó. Luego el fallido intento de equiparar el concierto organizado en Cucutá sobre el Puente Tienditas que tuvo como partícipes a distintos artistas internacionales como Maná, Alejandro Sanz y Paulina Rubio. En contraste, su homólogo orquestado por Maduro solo pudo confirmar a sus participantes horas antes de iniciar el show, además de que solo convocó a menos del 2% de los asistentes al realizado en Colombia. Finalmente, también debe mencionarse la aceptación del gobierno de un paquete de alimentos de la Unión Europea y una dotación de medicinas de Rusia, luego de que Maduro declarara en distintas oportunidades que no existe ninguna crisis.

Todos estos acontecimientos evidencian lo desesperado que se encuentra Maduro en medio de una coyuntura que ya no parece poder controlar por más tiempo. Sin embargo, todavía tiene aliados que pueden sostenerlo en el poder. En el Consejo de Seguridad de la ONU cuenta con el respaldo de los votos de Rusia y China, quienes critican a Estados Unidos por su injerencia en el asunto.

Por otro lado, la cúpula militar todavía le es fiel, a causa de los incentivos económicos que les ofrece. Si bien durante el último fin de semana alrededor de 60 militares venezolanos desertaron y pidieron asilo en Colombia, sumándose así a los poco más de 350 que ya lo han hecho, la cantidad no fue la esperada por la oposición. Guaidó confiaba en que los militares apostados en la frontera pasaran al lado colombiana en multitud, pero ello no sucedió. Por tal motivo, sigue sosteniendo firmemente su ya conocida ley de amnistía.

Por lo pronto, solo parecen avecinarse mayores sanciones en contra del gobierno bolivariano. Estados Unidos ha pedido frente a la ONU que la negativa a recibir ayuda humanitaria sea considerada como crimen de lesa humanidad. Por otra parte, Guaidó aún se encuentra fuera de Venezuela luego de hacerlo para estar presente en el concierto de Cucutá, pese al impedimento de salida que tiene. La manera en que vaya a ingresar es desconocida, pero no se descarta el uso de la ayuda de militares descontentos que Guaidó ya ha señalada fueron los que le permitieron salir.

Kevin Rivera
Estudiante de Literatura Hispánica en la Pontifica Universidad Católica del Perú. Apasionado del cine, el teatro y la literatura, además de poseer un gran interés por la coyuntura nacional e internacional.
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